Inflation and the Erosion of Purchasing Power in Kosovo: The Real Value of EUR 100 (Base Year 2019) from 2010 to 2025

Authors

  • Halit Xhafa Qiriazi University College

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18525274

Keywords:

inflation, purchasing power, real income, HICP, Kosovo, euroization, cost of living

Abstract

Inflation changes the real value of money, meaning that an unchanged nominal amount buys different quantities of goods and services over time. This study quantifies the erosion of purchasing power in Kosovo by translating EUR 100 in the base year 2019 into its real value across 2010–2024, and for October 2025. The analysis relies on the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) published by the Kosovo Agency of Statistics (KAS) for annual averages through 2024, and Eurostat HICP data (via FRED) for October 2025. Real values are computed using standard deflation, setting 2019 as the purchasing power benchmark. Results show that EUR 100 in 2019 corresponds to roughly EUR 105 in 2014 prices, but only about EUR 77 in October 2025 prices, implying that the 2019 consumption basket costing EUR 100 would require roughly EUR 129–130 by October 2025. The findings align with public economic commentary in Kosovo that emphasizes the growing gap between nominal incomes and real living standards. The paper concludes with policy-relevant implications related to euroization constraints, imported inflation exposure, and the need for targeted social and productivity policies that protect household welfare during persistent price shocks.

References

Aiyagari, S. R. (1990). Deflating the costs of inflation. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 14(1), 2–8.

Central Statistics Office Ireland. (n.d.). Consumer price index (CPI) and harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP): Methodologies.

Easterly, W., & Fischer, S. (2001). Inflation and the poor. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 33(2), 160–178.

European Central Bank. (2025). An overview of the ECB’s monetary policy strategy.

Eurostat. (n.d.). Methodology: Harmonised indices of consumer prices (HICP).

International Labour Organization, International Monetary Fund, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, Eurostat, & World Bank. (2020). Consumer price index manual: Concepts and methods.

International Monetary Fund. (2023). Inflation dynamics in the Western Balkans (IMF Working Paper No. WP/23/049).

International Monetary Fund. (2023). Republic of Kosovo: 2022 Article IV consultation—Press release; staff report; and statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Kosovo (IMF Country Report No. 23/24).

International Monetary Fund. (2025). ECB monetary policy passthrough to bank interest rates during tightening: Republic of Kosovo (Selected Issues Paper).

International Monetary Fund. (2025). Financial buffers in a euroized economy: Republic of Kosovo (Selected Issues Paper).

Koha.net. (2025, November 26). Jakurti: Import prices have fallen, inflation is now “Made in Kosovo”.

Kosovo Agency of Statistics. (2025). Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP): December 2024 (Publication).

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2023). Challenges with inflation: The Western Balkans.

Ponsot, J.-F., & Rossi, S. (Eds.). (2017). Dollarization and euroization: A post-Keynesian institutional analysis. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Swiss Economic Institute. (2023). The Western Balkans: The economic situation and outlook 2023.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. (n.d.). Harmonized index of consumer prices: All items for Kosovo (Eurostat series) [Data set].

World Bank. (2023). Macro poverty outlook: Kosovo (April 2023).

Daci, E., & Rexhepi, B. R. (2024). The role of management in microfinance institutions in Kosovo: Case study Dukagjini region. Quality – Access to Success, 25(202). https://doi.org/10.47750/QAS/25.202.22

Kawiana, G. P., Rexhepi, B. R., Arsha, M. R. M., Swara, N. A. A. V., & Yudhistira, P. G. A. (2023). Accelerating values in shaping ethical leadership and its effect on organisational performance. Quality – Access to Success, 24(196). https://doi.org/10.47750/QAS/24.196.36

Murtezaj, I. M., Rexhepi, B. R., Dauti, B., & Xhafa, H. (2024). Mitigating economic losses and prospects for the development of the energy sector in the Republic of Kosovo. Economics of Development, 23(3). https://doi.org/10.57111/econ/3.2024.82

Murtezaj, I. M., Rexhepi, B. R., Xhaferi, B. S., Xhafa, H., & Xhaferi, S. (2024). The study and application of moral principles and values in the fields of accounting and auditing. Pakistan Journal of Life and Social Sciences, 22(2), 3885–3902. https://doi.org/10.57239/PJLSS-2024-22.2.00286

Rexhepi, B. R., Rexhepii, F. G., Xhaferi, B., Xhaferi, S., & Berisha, B. I. (2024). Financial accounting management: A case of Ege Furniture in Kosovo. Quality – Access to Success, 25(200). https://doi.org/10.47750/QAS/25.200.09

Downloads

Published

2025-01-30

How to Cite

Xhafa, H. (2025). Inflation and the Erosion of Purchasing Power in Kosovo: The Real Value of EUR 100 (Base Year 2019) from 2010 to 2025. Ege Scholar Journal, 2(1), 68–74. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18525274

Issue

Section

Research Articles

Similar Articles

1 2 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.